The fixture list has fallen very kindly for a number of teams across both GW16 & GW17 so you might find a lot of similar picks this week as were in our midweek articles. We did ok mid-week but we’ll be hoping for a lot more from our big hitting front two below this time around though…
Remember Top Picks should always make your line up, use our Differential Options to then fill in the blanks and make up the remaining 11.
Harry Kane (TOT) – v BUR (h) – £14.4m
Although we debated (and quite heavily) removing Kane last week, the decision was made we couldn’t afford to NOT have him in for GW16 in case he did something special – his ownership was just too high to risk it. He duly blanked and left 85% of players pretty upset – us included.
The issue though, that is exactly the same as we have this gameweek, is Demeble’s injury. In 11 games where Dembele either hasn’t played or has played less than 20 mins, Kane only has 1 goal and 0 assists. His shots per game and penalty area attacks also drop quite significantly without Dembele in the team. Sure, Spurs cantered to an easy victory mid-week as we expected but Kane was not his usual self and didn’t muster a single shot on goal. That’s stark contrast to the six on target against Swansea a week earlier when Dembele played.
All that said, we feel the same this week as we did last, his ownership will be enormous again and he surely can’t flop as badly at home to Burnley as he did against Hull. Expensive yes, but can you afford to not have him this week? We are sticking rather than twisting for now.
Diego Costa (CHE) – v CRY (a) – £14.8m
12 goals in 16 appearances is why he is the leagues top marksman. Costa has only failed to offer an attacking return (goal or assist) in 3 out of the 16 Premier League games he’s played this season and two of those were against Arsenal and Man United. Let’s hope Hazard’s potential absence doesn’t effect him in the same way Demeble’s does for Spurs. A must pick this week for the highest points scorer in the game when playing away from home. No brainer.
Payet (WHU) – v HUL (h) – £12.1m
Another ‘must-pick’ this week. There is only one player in the game that can earn 30pts+ without any actual attacking returns and that is Dimitri Payet. As he showed against Hull midweek with another 8 chances created (worth 24pts) the most creative midfielder in the league will be let loose at home to a Hull side who are quickly becoming one of the worst away teams the Premier League has ever seen. No clean sheets all season and a new targetman upfront for Payet to now aim at, he will be licking his lips ahead of this one.
Christian Eriksen (TOT) – v BUR (h) – £13.5m
It took Eriksen some time to settle back into his game this season but my word he’s back now. 5 goals and 1 assist in his last 4 games as well as 13 chances created for teammates in that time has deservedly put him ahead of De Bruyne this week as the most expensive midfielder in FanDuel. Regardless of price, we cannot ignore him and the fact he’s on freekicks and corners only strengthens his case for inclusion against a Burnley side who have conceded 16 and only scored 1 on the road this season. Expect more trouble this weekend with Eriksen the most likely to be orchestrating it.
Idrissa Gueye (EVE) – v LIV (h) – £9.4m
Gueye is slowly becoming a FanDuel favourite of ours. That’s because other than the blip at Watford in GW15 he has consistently scored well every time he’s played and in most games has ended up man of the match. Gueye has more tackles than any midfielder in Europe’s top leagues (58) this season and has more interceptions (31) than anyone in the Everton team. Up against Klopp’s Liverpool this week and playing in his first Merseyside derby, expect him to add quite significantly to those numbers. Consistent and reliable, he will almost always deliver at least 3 points per million – which is a great return for any midfielder.
Kyle Walker (TOT) – v BUR (h) – £7.9m
0.7m cheaper than teammate Danny Rose and in better form, Kyle Walker is the standout pick this week. One of the leagues best attacking full backs and playing in a Pochettino system that relies heavily on him, we don’t think the Burnley rearguard stand a chance this week. Walker has averaged 30pts per game in his last 4 games which is form that is unrivalled by most. Not only has he created 9 chances in that time and made 1 assist, he’s also made 22 clearances demonstrating just why he’s so valuable as a FanDuel asset.
Matt Lowton (BUR) – v TOT (a) – £7.1m
Lowton takes our pick this week thanks to his battling performances of late. He averages 2.5 tackles per game and up against flying spurs wingbacks this week he should add to that total. To put that in perspective, more expensive teammates Mee and Keane have only managed 1 and 0.75 tackles per game over that same period. We can’t see Burnley getting much out of this game but that’s no reason not to back the rearguard this week – Lowton is over £1m cheaper than his centreback teammates and has offered more attacking returns. An obvious choice.
If funds are tight then Darren Randolph (£7m) is a good option this week. Randolph is 5th on the list for saves per game (see more about this week’s top 10 goalie’s here) – nearly as high as Heaton yet much cheaper and has great clean sheet potential this week.
Artur Boruc (£6.7m) is actually 5th for saves overall amongst all Premier League keepers so far this season and has scored 20+ points on 3 occasions at home already this season. Another shut out could well be on the cards.
Our top pick however, should funds allow, is Ben Foster (£7.5m) of WBA. As we highlighted in the goalkeeper section of our GW17 Differentials article HERE, up against a United side this week that love to shoot, there should be saves galore. We wouldn’t put it past him to have ‘one of those days’ against Mourinho’s men and keep them shut out too.
As always don’t forget to keep an eye on our Twitter Feed following lineup annoucements throughout the weekend. And if you are new to FanDuel you can sign up now with our unique new customer offer using promo code TIPS30 and get £20 free bets when you deposit your first £10!