The Form Guide Suggests | GW20 Forwards

The £3,000 Fan Favourite runs Monday through to Wednesday and includes the full roster of 20 Premier League teams. For those looking for more competition, FanDuel have also kindly put on Monday and Tuesday only contests to get stuck into, with £1,000 in total prizes up for grabs in each.

Below we assess the top picks and differentials for our front line, which this week is full of potential, to help you win big across the New Years fixtures.

GW20 TOP PICKS | Forwards

Sergio Aguero (MCI) – v Burnley (h) – £13.8m
The prolific Argentine marks his return to the team over the New Years fixtures and a home tie against Burnley is just about as inviting as it gets to show the City faithful what they’ve been missing. Aguero has had a strange season by his standards although he’s got 10 goals in his 12 league games so far so how much more should we really expect from him? Aguero’s underlying statistics under Pep are significantly more impressive than they were last year. He’s running further, averaging more goals per game and creating more chances for teammates than last season. 50 points at home to Boro, 46 against Swansea and another 46 against Stoke at home shows just how lethal and effective he can be against the teams further down the table. Burnley turn up to the Etihad with a terrible defensive record and a serious propensity for leaking goals.

Roberto Firmino (LIV) – v Sunderland (a) – £11.5m
Up until Coutinho’s injury, Firmino was quite clearly the standout player of the season as far as FanDuel was concerned. Everything about his game, his workrate, shots on goal, creativity and tackles all guaranteed winfalls for those that backed him each week. However since Origi’s introduction to the team, he’s struggled to replicate that early season form, until GW18 at Stoke that is… In recent weeks he’s looked back to his best and up against a Sunderland side who just cannot keep clean sheets and are suffering after losing their main shot stopper in Pickford we expect his form to continue. At 11.5m he’s cheaper than both Kane and Lukaku who have trickier ties to contend with this week. 6 goals, 5 assists, more chances created (40) than anyone else in the Liverpool side, and more key passes this season than even Hazard or Erikson we are backing him to produce another big return this week.

Alexis Sanchez (ARS) – v Bournemouth (a) – £13.9m
Incredibly, Sanchez has averaged 41.42 points in each of his last 3 home games…! Nobody else in the league can match that. Considering he’s only managed 2 goals and 1 assist in that time it shows us just how effective he is at racking up FanDuel points across all other key metrics too. Ranked 4th for key passes made this season, 2nd in the assist table and sitting on 12 goals in the league already (just one behind Costa) he’s the main reason Arsenal are still ‘challenging’ for the title. That said, his brilliant form this season so far has on the whole been played as an out and out front man. With Giroud’s recent return to the team (and form) there are now question marks over that position. Interestingly when Giroud does play not only does he tend to score (therefore is a great value pick – see below) but Sanchez produces nearly 50% less points than when he’s not in the team. So this pick comes with a warning. If Sanchez is up front, pick him. If Giroud plays, he could be the better pick this week.

GW20 Differentials | Forwards

Olivier Giroud (ARS) – v Bournemouth (a) – £9.3m
It’s important to remember that Bournemouth are not an easy team to beat at home. However as explained above, when Giroud starts, he scores. We’ve talked a lot about his FanDuel potential already this season, it’s just a shame he hasn’t had the pitch time to prove it until now. Although not the most prolific striker, he always manages 20 goals a season and he brings the midfield into play very well too. This often results in good attacking FanDuel returns. 8 goals in 6 games, if he starts up front, for his price you should pick him.

Christian Benteke (CRY) – v Swansea (h) – £9.4m
Although unlikely to be back on Penalty duty any time soon, one thing we know about Swansea this year is when they turn up on your doorstep on a matchday, your No.9 should be licking his lips in anticipation. Benteke is no different. Carroll, Negredo, Rondon, Kane, Ibrahimovic and even Benteke himself are just some of the strikers who have all had the pleasure so far this season of playing against the appalling Swansea defensive unit and have all prospered too with goals galore. The last time these two teams met they produced one the greatest games of the season with Swansea miraculously coming out 5-4 winners. With Big Sam at the helm we don’t see a repeat of that unfortunately. What we see instead is a goal fest for Palace and Benteke though. Cheap and well worth picking – although always runs the risk of a minus score!

Alvaro Negredo (MID) – v Leicester (h) – £8.9m
Boro have had a strangely predictable season so far. They’ve lost at home to Liverpool, Chelsea & Spurs and comfortably beaten teams like Swansea, Hull & Bournemouth. What more can you ask of them really? The only unfortunate thing for them is the fixture list has meant these bottom of the table clashes have been quite sporadic. As a result their form has appeared quite inconsistent. The reality is though, against teams they know they will be fighting with for relegation they are strong, very strong. And Negredo more than often is the beneficiary. 6 months ago nobody would have expect Leicester to be part of the list of ‘teams at the bottom’ but they are, and their away form continues to be woeful and so we don’t see any reason why Middlesbrough can’t continue their good home form up against teams in and around the bottom of the Premier League. Negredo is the best finisher they’ve got and managed 2 of his 5 goals this season in the reverse fixture at the Kingpower in November. Should be great value for his price this week.

Solomon Rondon (WBA) – v Hull (h) – £8.6m
Another striker that has struggled for consistency this season, his hatrick at home to Swansea showed just how menacing he can be when given the time and space. Well, Hull’s defence has been just as bad if not worse at times on the road this season and they are in the top 3 for goals conceded from set pieces and crosses. Rondon relishes that and should West Brom turn up as expected this week he should get opportunities a plenty. The only question mark is will he now be replaced by Robson-Kanu following his brilliant debut performance at Southampton? Should Hal Robson-Kanu (£5.9m) start he’s another great differential instead.

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